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Gloomy B.C. real estate forecasts not as bad as some predict: agent

FILE- Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. says it expects home prices and sales to decline substantially this year. (NEWS 1130 photo)
Summary

A Richmond presale condo and townhouse agent is seeing a different picture than some analysts

Nothing structurally has changed about the B.C. real estate market, says agent

Easing of health and safety restrictions will bring more buyers and lower prices to the market.

VANCOUVER (NEWS 1130) — The forecast for buying and selling real estate in B.C. isn’t what it could have been, but it’s not as bad as the double-digit price drops some analysts have predicted, according to a Richmond presale condo and townhouse agent.

Vince Taylor admits he’s biased, but said the facts are not — supply is low in B.C. and interest rates are historically low, so prices will be relatively stable.

“I am expecting a drop-off for sure. I don’t expect the market to rebound in 2020 like it was going to in March, but I see no structural, no macro or micro economic reason for the kinds of drops that have been reported,” he said.

“Tell me how that makes any sense that prices are going to go down when you have the lowest interest rate in 40 years, limited supply, and not that many people actually lost their jobs.”

He adds the COVID-19 cloud is dark, but there is a silver lining, and nothing structurally has changed about the real estate market.

While Canada is seeing the worst GDP numbers in a decade, Taylor said the easing of health and safety restrictions will bring more buyers and lower prices to the market.

The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. expects home prices and sales to decline substantially this year and still won’t have recovered by the end of 2022.

The federal housing agency’s special housing market outlook predicts home prices to decline between nine and 18 per cent, and as much as 25 per cent in oil-producing regions, before starting to recover by mid-2021. The report also suggests average home prices in B.C. could drop close to $100,000 this year.